Draws have been the downfall of the season

Having to settle for just a point has been a problem for Arsenal illustrating why the "defense wins championships" cliche isn't correct

Saturday, against Brentford, Arsenal picked up their 12th draw of the season.

There have been more draws this season than in the last two seasons combined. Looking at the numbers from the previous three seasons shows how much of an outlier this season is.

2024/25 - 12

2023/24 - 5

2022/23 - 6

2021/22 - 3

Arsenal have been hard to beat with just 3 losses but the total number of dropped points is a killer to a season. Yes a draw is better than a loss it is just a tough penalty, losing two points compared to winning.

Arsenal have dropped points in nearly half of their matches this season and that is a massive difference compared to the last three seasons, especially the last two where they were in the title hunt.

2024/25 - 15, 47% all of matches

2023/24 - 10, 26% all of matches

2022/23 - 12, 32% all of matches

2021/22 - 16, 42% all of matches

The big difference between Arsenal and Liverpool this season has been that Liverpool have had the close matches go their way into wins, while Arsenal have had to accept sharing the points.

When you run a simulation of the post-match win/draw/loss odds to get a spread of how many draws you would expect Arsenal to have had this season, you get the following: