It feels pretty weird to finally reach this, the final position group of my (hopefully not too) long look at whether my formulas are any good. And as you probably would have guessed, I saved strikers for the end because they’re the sexiest, the most hotly debated, and — at least to me — the ones we end up looking the dumbest about most often.
If you’ve missed any of the first many chapters, it all started here. Cliff’s notes of the concept:
Using the formulas as they exist today, re-pick transfers that happened at the time, even if you know a guy busted.
Ignore the eye-test element, even though I do use both in my actual practice.
When the formula recommends against a guy, try to emulate that guy the best you can: Similar style of player, from a similar league, similar age, etc. I’ll usually call out how I got where I did with the pick.
We start with 2017-2018, my first season with advanced enough data to do this, and with the big five leagues. The next season, we add Portugal, Belgium, the Eredivisie, and the Championship.
Good? Good. Let’s go!
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