I have been posting Goal Probability charts on Twitter and it has inspired some questions about what exactly it is. This post will be my explanation of it. Essentially in the simplest terms, it is the difference in the probability of a team scoring or conceding after an event compared to the probability of scoring at the start.

## Goal Probability Added: Explained

## Goal Probability Added: Explained

## Goal Probability Added: Explained

I have been posting Goal Probability charts on Twitter and it has inspired some questions about what exactly it is. This post will be my explanation of it. Essentially in the simplest terms, it is the difference in the probability of a team scoring or conceding after an event compared to the probability of scoring at the start.