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Predictions for April and beyond
I started doing this in January, and it is time to look at how my short-term predictions turned out and to make some predictions for the next month and beyond.
Arsenal vs Wolves Feb 24, Arsenal will win: 55% ✔️
Watford vs Arsenal March 6, Arsenal will win: 65% ✔️
Arsenal vs Leicester March 13, Arsenal will win: 60% ✔️
Arsenal vs Liverpool March 16, Arsenal will lose: 65% ✔️
Aston Villa vs Arsenal March 19, Arsenal will win: 55% ✔️
Arsenal will get 10 or more points from these fixtures: 80% ✔️
A perfect month for me!
I am not sure if that is good because there were a lot of there that were sort of middle probability predictions but it also meant that Arsenal had a good month.
These will be the tracking of things that have had a result:
I made 7 guesses that were 90%+, and all 7 happened.
I made 2 guesses that were between 80% and 89%, and 2 happened.
I made 2 guesses that were between 70% and 79%, and 1 happened.
I made 4 guesses that were between 60% and 69%, and 4 happened.
I made 3 guesses that were between 51% and 59%, and 3 happened.
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal April 4th, Arsenal will win: 55%
Arsenal vs Brighton April 9th, Arsenal will win: 60%
Southampton vs Arsenal April 16th, Arsenal will get at least a win or draw: 75%
Chelsea vs Arsenal April 20th,, Arsenal will get at least a win or draw: 55%
Arsenal vs Manchester United April 23rd, Arsenal will get at least a win or draw: 70%
Arsenal will get more 9 or more points in April: 60%
Arsenal will finish in the top 4: 65%
Arsenal will finish with more than 65 points: 80%
Arsenal will finish above Tottenham: 60%
Manchester City will win the League: 60%
Newcastle will NOT be relegated: 95%
Everton will be relegated: 55%
Bukayo Saka finishes the season with 14 or more League goals: 55%
Erling Haaland does NOT sign with Arsenal in the summer: 99%
Alexandre Lacazette does NOT resign with Arsenal in the summer: 75%