As it stands, if I get it, City are on course to take 60 points from the final 22 games, and if we want to go past them on the final day we need to take 60 - 7 (the gap) to be over them. 97, but wil fall as games are played and points dropped?

What the magic number gives you is how many points Arsenal need to gain if each team were to win every match (not possible but still illustrative). Basically what Arsenal need to do, to guarantee finishing above regardless of results.

Sorry senior moment how do I read this, is each horizontal bar the points you believe the team can secure over the remaining games? And there there to finish about Citeh for example Arsenal would need to secure a further 61 points to win the league? I don’t think I’ve got that right?

No not quite. The simplest way to think of the horizontal bars is as the number of points Arsenal would need to finish above that club if they don’t drop any more results. It’s not predictive at all, and of course they can’t all win all their games! So with each Arsenal win, and each point teams drop, the bars will get smaller. Hopefully that makes sense.

But we would also have to take into consideration the relative current points positions right? So we are currently 7 points clear, if Citeh take 60 points from their remaining games that would land them on 96 points, leaving Arsenal 97 points for a PL win. Given they are 7 points clear on 43 points that means Arsenal would need to take 54 points from their remaining games to win?

Yeah so if city took 60 points of their available 66 (22 games) that would mean they dropped 6 points. So Arsenal’s magic number would be today’s value minus those 6 dropped points, 54

Nope, just that 60 is the absolute highest number Arsenal would need to finish above them. Basically the Arsenal points gained + City points dropped hitting 60 would clinch finishing above them

As it stands, if I get it, City are on course to take 60 points from the final 22 games, and if we want to go past them on the final day we need to take 60 - 7 (the gap) to be over them. 97, but wil fall as games are played and points dropped?

What the magic number gives you is how many points Arsenal need to gain if each team were to win every match (not possible but still illustrative). Basically what Arsenal need to do, to guarantee finishing above regardless of results.

Sorry senior moment how do I read this, is each horizontal bar the points you believe the team can secure over the remaining games? And there there to finish about Citeh for example Arsenal would need to secure a further 61 points to win the league? I don’t think I’ve got that right?

No not quite. The simplest way to think of the horizontal bars is as the number of points Arsenal would need to finish above that club if they don’t drop any more results. It’s not predictive at all, and of course they can’t all win all their games! So with each Arsenal win, and each point teams drop, the bars will get smaller. Hopefully that makes sense.

But we would also have to take into consideration the relative current points positions right? So we are currently 7 points clear, if Citeh take 60 points from their remaining games that would land them on 96 points, leaving Arsenal 97 points for a PL win. Given they are 7 points clear on 43 points that means Arsenal would need to take 54 points from their remaining games to win?

Yeah so if city took 60 points of their available 66 (22 games) that would mean they dropped 6 points. So Arsenal’s magic number would be today’s value minus those 6 dropped points, 54

So what is the 60 points Citeh line telling me, that you expect Citeh take 60 points from their remaining games?

Nope, just that 60 is the absolute highest number Arsenal would need to finish above them. Basically the Arsenal points gained + City points dropped hitting 60 would clinch finishing above them

Got it thanks