Thanks for an interesting analysis. I have always assumed that past experience matters—but it makes sense that team talent, as shown by ELO, is a better predictor. It’s also interesting because it reinforces slightly the predictive value of the ELO rankings(on which Arsenal recently reached its highest rating). Good question and interesting answer. Thanks.
Thanks for an interesting analysis. I have always assumed that past experience matters—but it makes sense that team talent, as shown by ELO, is a better predictor. It’s also interesting because it reinforces slightly the predictive value of the ELO rankings(on which Arsenal recently reached its highest rating). Good question and interesting answer. Thanks.