It feels like there's a statistically meaningful jump in almost all KPIs to get to the title. Do you have a sense of how overperforming expectations in a subset of these KPIs could be more impactful in the title win? EG would overperforming the xG Difference by 20% suggest a higher chance of winning the title than an under performance in, say, Shots Allowed?
nice piece of research. i have a question about the goalscoring. to achieve 88 goals scored, we will need an aditional 12 non-pk goals. where will these come from? an additional 6 from martinelli,? this would put him back on 22-23 #'s. 6 more from ode? the same situation as martinelli.
i agree with your take on what the gunners will have to strive for this season. i wonder how arteta approach it. fwiw, i don't think a #9 is the answer. we have been playing with false 9 since giroud and lacazette left. who is the player "out there" that is great in that role?
It feels like there's a statistically meaningful jump in almost all KPIs to get to the title. Do you have a sense of how overperforming expectations in a subset of these KPIs could be more impactful in the title win? EG would overperforming the xG Difference by 20% suggest a higher chance of winning the title than an under performance in, say, Shots Allowed?
nice piece of research. i have a question about the goalscoring. to achieve 88 goals scored, we will need an aditional 12 non-pk goals. where will these come from? an additional 6 from martinelli,? this would put him back on 22-23 #'s. 6 more from ode? the same situation as martinelli.
i agree with your take on what the gunners will have to strive for this season. i wonder how arteta approach it. fwiw, i don't think a #9 is the answer. we have been playing with false 9 since giroud and lacazette left. who is the player "out there" that is great in that role?
Probably some from a bit of everyone in the front line. More from Kai, more from Jesus, Martinelli.