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Lovely analysis as always crab. Where do you get your strength of opponent information from btw?

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This is from my team ratings from my projection model. It looks at the average strength of the teams played, with a 2.5% bump for away matches and a 2.5% penalty for home matches to try and account for home field advantage.

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Ah very cool. And it updates as the team scores updates? That’s very cool

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